iran's revolutionary guard declared that only routes approved by tehran guarantee safe passage through the strait of hormuz, directly challenging a UN/oman-sponsored evacuation corridor that simultaneously saw vessels successfully transit. a liberian tanker navigated the oman-adjacent alternative route without incident, and india confirmed 30 ship crossings since a june 15 MOU. two entities are now asserting competing jurisdiction over the same chokepoint, while traffic volume recovers — a structurally unstable configuration for a waterway that moves roughly 20% of global oil.